Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 28, 2021 at 12pm UK

Miyagi Stadium

Australia U23s
0 - 2
Egypt U23s

Baccus (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yasser Anwar Mohamed (44'), Hamdi (85')
Tawfik (36'), Hamdi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Australia Under-23s and Egypt Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Under-23s win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Egypt Under-23s had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Egypt Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Australia Under-23s	Draw	Egypt Under-23s
42.79%	23.09%	34.12%

Both teams to score 64.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.06%

36.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.88%

59.12%

Australia Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23%

17.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.53%

48.46%

Egypt Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2%

21.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.99%

55.01%

Score Analysis

Australia Under-23s 42.79%

Egypt Under-23s 34.12%

Draw 23.09%

Australia Under-23s	Draw	Egypt Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.79%	1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.53% Total : 34.12%