Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Orleans had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Orleans win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.