NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Michael O'Connor 17' goal
  • Sean Ward 50' redcard
  • goal Caolan Loughran 50'

Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
Glenavon 2 - 1 Ballymena
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Matt Fitzpatrick

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
Crusaders 1 - 3 Carrick
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Caolan Loughran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Glenavon 56.09%
Draw 21.04%
Carrick Rangers 22.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.76%

Goals

Over 2.5 64.87%
Under 2.5 35.12%
Over 3.5 42.87%
Under 3.5 57.13%

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 87.46%
Under 0.5 12.54%
Over 1.5 61.43%
Under 1.5 38.57%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 71.76%
Under 0.5 28.24%
Over 1.5 36.05%
Under 1.5 63.94%

Score analysis

Glenavon 56.09%
Draw 21.04%
Carrick Rangers 22.87%
Glenavon
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 7.63%
1-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 6.68%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 4.22%
4-1 @ 3.47%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 56.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.3%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 3.54%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.04%
Carrick Rangers
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-1 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 22.87%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2020 3.00pm
Mourneview Park
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mourneview Park (Lurgan)
  • Daniel Larmour 30' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2019 3.00pm
6
2
HT : 2 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena (Carrickfergus)
  • Jerry Thompson 15' goal
  • Stewart Nixon 39' goal
  • Guillaume Keke 46' goal
  • James Ferrin 54' goal
  • Lee Chapman 63' goal
  • Michael Smith 77' goal
  • goal Aaron Harmon 25'
  • goal Joshua Daniels 80'