NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crusaders4 - 0Dungannon
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 73.81% | 16.4% | 9.79% |
| Both teams to score 47.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.22% | 39.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.86% | 62.14% |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% | 9.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.63% | 31.37% |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.28% | 47.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.98% | 83.02% |
| Score Analysis |
Crusaders 73.79%
Dungannon Swifts 9.79%
Draw 16.4%
| Crusaders | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 12.51% 1-0 @ 10.53% 3-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 5.89% 4-1 @ 4.36% 5-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.61% 6-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.69% Total : 73.79% | 1-1 @ 7.8% 0-0 @ 4.43% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.75% Total : 16.4% | 0-1 @ 3.28% 1-2 @ 2.88% 0-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.41% Total : 9.79% |


