Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.