National League | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
4 - 3
Fylde

Creaney (9', 79'), Digie (45+4'), Finn (90+1')
Tonks (84')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Haughton (30'), Jolley (36'), McFayden (45+2')
Riley (77'), Winterbottom (83')

Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 3-0 Tamworth
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Fylde
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Fylde win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
Tamworth	Draw	Fylde
63.02% ( 0.02)	20.53% ( -0)	16.45% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.43% (

-0.04)

42.56% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.03% (

-0.04)

64.97% (

0.03)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

-0.01)

12.89% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.7% (

-0.01)

39.29% (

0.01)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.94% (

-0.05)

39.06% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.22% (

-0.04)

75.78% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Tamworth 63.01%

Fylde 16.45%

Draw 20.53%

Tamworth	Draw	Fylde
2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 63.01%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.53%	0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.45%