Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 39.31% | 25.36% | 35.33% |
| Both teams to score 56.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% | 47.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% | 69.63% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% | 23.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% | 58.02% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% | 26.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% | 61.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.35% Total : 35.33% |