Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town |
59% ( 1.02) | 21.36% ( -0.37) | 19.64% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( 0.77) | 41.02% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% ( 0.78) | 63.42% ( -0.78) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.41% ( 0.56) | 13.59% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.29% ( 1.12) | 40.71% ( -1.12) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% ( -0.2) | 34.56% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.72% ( -0.21) | 71.28% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 59% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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