National League South Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Jack Spong 42' goal
  • goal Alfie Rutherford 51'

Worthing vs Dorking Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Eastbourne 1 - 1 Worthing
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Danny Cashman

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Dorking 4 - 2 Hampton
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Alfie Rutherford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Worthing 44.51% (+0.07)
Draw 23.83% (+0.01)
Dorking Wanderers 31.66% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.58% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.59% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 41.4% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 36.2% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 63.8% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 19.17% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.83% (+0.05)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 81.14% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.86% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.32% (-0.01)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 74.67% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 25.33% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 39.88% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 60.11% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Worthing 44.51%
Draw 23.83%
Dorking Wanderers 31.66%
Worthing
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.97% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.65% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.78% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
Dorking Wanderers
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 31.66%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Meadowbank Stadium
  • Jason Prior 26' goal
  • Matt Briggs 45'+8' redcard
  • goal Glen Rea 12'
  • yellowcard Danny Cashman 42'
  • goal Nick Wheeler 45'+6'