National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
1 - 1
Dorking

Spong (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rutherford (51')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Worthing
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 4-2 Hampton
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawDorking Wanderers
44.51% (0.068999999999996 0.07)23.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.66% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.58% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)41.4% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)63.8% (0.064 0.06)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.86% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)25.33% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)60.11% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 44.51%
    Dorking Wanderers 31.66%
    Draw 23.83%
WorthingDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.66%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Dorking
1-2
Worthing
Prior (26')
Briggs (45+8')
Rea (12'), Wheeler (45+6')
Cashman (42')