National League South | Gameweek 14

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Clarence Park

St Albans City
3 - 2
Bath City

Jeffers (61'), Lench (64' og.), Greenslade (72' og.)
Partington (25'), Rasulo (45'), Longe-King (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Russe (38'), Wanjau-Smith (74')
Grimes (41'), Wilson (58'), Tillson (67'), Russe (70')

Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Albans City

All competitions

National League South

Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Bath City

All competitions

National League South

Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans City	Draw	Bath City
42.2% ( -0.01)	25.02% ( 0)	32.78% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.52% (

-0.01)

46.48% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24% (

-0)

68.76% (

0.01)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-0.01)

22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69% (

-0.01)

55.31% (

0.01)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89% (

27.11% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51% (

62.49% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

St Albans City 42.2%

Bath City 32.78%

Draw 25.02%

St Albans City	Draw	Bath City
1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.78%