Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.