Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 57.4%. A win for Gorleston had a probability of 21.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Gorleston win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Gorleston	Draw	St Albans City
21.43% ( 0)	21.17% ( 0.01)	57.4% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.19% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.42% (

-0.02)

37.57% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.19% (

-0.02)

59.81% (

0.02)

Gorleston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

-0.01)

30.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

-0.01)

67.13% (

0.01)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

-0.01)

12.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

-0.02)

39.42% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gorleston 21.43%

St Albans City 57.4%

Draw 21.17%

Gorleston	Draw	St Albans City
2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.77% Total : 21.43%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.17%	1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.69% 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 57.4%