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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Emerald Park

Gorleston
1 - 0
Waltham Forest

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Gorleston and Waltham Forest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorleston

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Last Game: Mulbarton Wanderers 1-3 Gorleston
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Waltham Forest

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Last Game: Waltham Forest 3-2 Saffron Walden Town FC
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorleston win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Waltham Forest had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorleston win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Waltham Forest win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gorleston would win this match.

Result
GorlestonDrawWaltham Forest
41.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)22.63%36.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 66.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Gorleston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Waltham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)19.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)51.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Gorleston 41.35%
    Waltham Forest 36.02%
    Draw 22.63%
GorlestonDrawWaltham Forest
2-1 @ 8.51%
1-0 @ 5.93%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 41.35%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-1 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.29%
2-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 0.99%
3-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.02%