Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.