Hemel Hempstead
1 - 3
Ebbsfleet

Hughes (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tanner (8', 58'), Poleon (53')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
19.47%	20.66%	59.87%

Both teams to score 58.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62%

38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.74%

60.26%

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04%

32.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46%

69.55%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63%

12.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.77%

38.23%

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 19.47%

Ebbsfleet 59.87%

Draw 20.66%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 5.25% 1-0 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.47%	1-1 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 5.48% 0-0 @ 4.08% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 8.91% 0-1 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 6.88% 0-3 @ 6.2% 2-3 @ 3.82% 1-4 @ 3.6% 0-4 @ 3.24% 2-4 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.96% Total : 59.87%