Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
