National League North
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Sands Venue Stadium
  • Danny Whitehall 5' goal
  • Danny Whitehall 22' goal
  • Cal Roberts 25' goal
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 66' goal
  • goal Kole Hall 7'
  • goal Kole Hall 78'

Scunthorpe United vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Hereford 0 - 1 Scunthorpe
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Cal Roberts

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 29, 2025 7.45pm
Chorley 1 - 0 King's Lynn
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Mark Ellis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result

Scunthorpe United 50.14% (+0.78)
Draw 25.72% (-0.27)
Chorley 24.14% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.85% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.8% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 54.2% (-0.59)
Over 3.5 24.39% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 75.61% (-0.49)
Over 4.5 10.98% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 89.02% (-0.31)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 78.35% (+0.59)
Under 0.5 21.65% (-0.59)
Over 1.5 45.22% (+0.89)
Under 1.5 54.77% (-0.89)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 62.35% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 37.65% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 25.57% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 74.43% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Scunthorpe United 50.13%
Draw 25.71%
Chorley 24.14%
Scunthorpe United
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.54% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.32% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.87% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.76% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.86% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.82% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 50.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.71%
Chorley
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.22)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • 5' goal
  • Jack Sampson 50' goal
  • goal Cal Roberts 45'+1'
  • goal Danny Whitehall 63'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sands Venue Stadium
  • Andrew Boyce 20' yellowcard
  • Danny Whitehall 44' goal
  • Brad Nicholson 76' yellowcard
  • Kian Scales 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kole Hall 85'
National League North Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sands Venue Stadium
  • Danny Whitehall 25' goal
  • Connor Smith 52' goal
  • Danny Whitehall 63' goal
National League North Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Justin Johnson 47' goal
  • goal Danny Elliott 43'
  • redcard Will Evans 69'