Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe United	Draw	Chorley
50.14% ( 0.77)	25.72% ( -0.26)	24.14% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8% (

0.59)

54.2% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

0.49)

75.61% (

-0.49)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.58)

21.65% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

0.88)

54.77% (

-0.88)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35% (

-0.13)

37.65% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.57% (

-0.13)

74.43% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Scunthorpe United 50.13%

Chorley 24.14%

Draw 25.71%

Scunthorpe United	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.13%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.14%