Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brahim Diaz 45'+5' goal
  • Nayef Aguerd 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Camara 22'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Diaby 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Mahamadou Doumbia 49'
  • yellowcard Mahamadou Doumbia 50'
  • yellowcard Woyo Coulibaly 51'
  • yellowcard Lassine Sinayoko 63'
  • goal Lassine Sinayoko 64'
  • yellowcard Djigui Diarra 82'
  • yellowcard Nene Dorgeles 90'+7'

Morocco vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 7.00pm
Morocco 2 - 0 Comoros

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 22, 2025 2.00pm
Mali 1 - 1 Zambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.61% and a win for Mali had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Mali win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Morocco 60.8% (-0.43)
Draw 24.61% (+0.36)
Mali 14.59% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.7% (-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.87% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 61.13% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 18.91% (-0.76)
Under 3.5 81.09% (+0.76)
Over 4.5 7.72% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 92.28% (+0.43)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 79.9% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 20.1% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 47.65% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 52.35% (+0.90)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 47.19% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 52.81% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 13.47% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 86.53% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Morocco 60.79%
Draw 24.6%
Mali 14.59%
Morocco
1-0 @ 17.03% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 13.66% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 60.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.61% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 2.78% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.6%
Mali
0-1 @ 6.78% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 14.59%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Feb 7, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
  • Issaka Samake 6' yellowcard
  • Djigui Diarra 79' yellowcard
  • Issaka Samake 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Soufiane Bouftini 69'
  • yellowcard Hamza El Moussaoui 73'
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 79'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Ali Bemammer 87'

Build-up

Feature