Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 37.85% ( | 24.63% ( | 37.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( | 43.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( | 66.28% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( | 23.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( | 56.83% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( | 57.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 3% ( 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.52% |