Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12

Sep 14, 2020 at 4am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
4 - 2
Portland

Kaye (37'), Rossi (41'), Wright-Phillips (45+1'), Musovski (90+5')
Cifuentes (83')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Ebobisse (25', 45+2')
Bonilla (71')

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
62.01%	19.03%	18.95%

Both teams to score 63.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.11%

30.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.74%

52.25%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.32%

9.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.71%

32.29%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79%

29.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85%

65.15%

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 62.01%

Portland Timbers 18.95%

Draw 19.03%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 7.39% 1-0 @ 6.6% 3-0 @ 6% 3-2 @ 4.55% 4-1 @ 4.31% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-2 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.83% Total : 62.01%	1-1 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.03%	1-2 @ 5% 0-1 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.88% Total : 18.95%