Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
62.01% | 19.03% | 18.95% |
Both teams to score 63.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.11% | 30.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.74% | 52.25% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.32% | 9.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.71% | 32.29% |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.79% | 29.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.85% | 65.15% |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 7.39% 1-0 @ 6.6% 3-0 @ 6% 3-2 @ 4.55% 4-1 @ 4.31% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-2 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.83% Total : 62.01% | 1-1 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.03% | 1-2 @ 5% 0-1 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.88% Total : 18.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |