Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 73.17%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Charlotte Independence had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-3 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Charlotte Independence win it was 2-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.