May 8, 2021 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Brecht Dejaegere 30'
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 67'
Nathan N'Goumou 80'

Anthony Weber 57'
Steeve Yago 66'
Steeve Yago 66'
Kevin Mbala 82'

Toulouse vs Caen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

W
L
L
W
D
W

Ligue 2

W
L
W
D
W
L

Last game

May 4, 2021 6.00pm

Le Havre 0 - 1 Toulouse

Goals scored

68

Top scorer

Rhys Healey

Caen

All competitions

D
L
D
L
L
D

Ligue 2

D
L
D
L
L
D

Last game

May 1, 2021 7.00pm

Caen 0 - 0 Auxerre

Goals scored

32

Top scorer

Yacine Bammou

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Caen had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result

Toulouse 61.4%

Draw 21.95%

Caen 16.66%

Both Teams to Score:

48.94%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.67%

Under 2.5 48.33%

Over 3.5 29.53%

Under 3.5 70.47%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 84.76%

Under 0.5 15.24%

Over 1.5 56.09%

Under 1.5 43.91%

Caen Goals

Over 0.5 57.74%

Under 0.5 42.27%

Over 1.5 21.34%

Under 1.5 78.66%

Score analysis

Toulouse 61.38%

Draw 21.94%

Caen 16.66%

Toulouse

1-0 @ 12.11%

2-0 @ 11.39%

2-1 @ 9.82%

3-0 @ 7.15%

3-1 @ 6.16%

4-0 @ 3.36%

4-1 @ 2.9%

3-2 @ 2.65%

5-0 @ 1.27%

4-2 @ 1.25%

5-1 @ 1.09%

Other @ 2.25%

Total : 61.38%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.43%

0-0 @ 6.44%

2-2 @ 4.23%

Other @ 0.84%

Total : 21.94%

Caen

0-1 @ 5.55%

1-2 @ 4.49%

0-2 @ 2.39%

1-3 @ 1.29%

2-3 @ 1.21%

Other @ 1.72%

Total : 16.66%

Head to Head

Jan 11, 2021 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 2 1

FT

Kelian Nsona 9'
Alexandre Mendy 17'
Alexandre Mendy 17'
Yoann Court 39'

Kelvin Amian 31'
Deiver Machado 37'
Bafode Diakite 44'
Nathan N'Goumou 79'

Feb 24, 2019 2.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Yaya Sanogo 9'
Yannick Cahuzac 54'
Max Gradel 90'

Enzo Crivelli 45'
Ismael Diomande 45'
Frederic Guilbert 57'
Ismael Diomande 90'

Dec 18, 2018 6.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Saif-Eddine Khaoui 18'
Yoel Armougom 35'
Enzo Crivelli 84'
Faycal Fajr 90'

Max Gradel 44'
Yannick Cahuzac 49'
Kelvin Amian 86'

Apr 25, 2018 5.45pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Alexander Djiku 59'
Frederic Guilbert 90'

Francois Moubandje 90'

Dec 9, 2017 7.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)

Issa Diop 13'
Damien Da Silva 61'
Max Gradel 74'

Alexander Djiku 68'
Damien Da Silva 88'

May 6, 2017 7.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Ola Toivonen 46'
Issa Diop 70'

Ismael Diomande 24'
Ivan Santini 58'
Jean-Victor Makengo 61'

Form Data

Le Havre 0 - 1 Toulouse

Paris FC 3 - 1 Toulouse

Rumilly Vallieres 2 - 0 Toulouse

Toulouse 1 - 0 Chateauroux

Guingamp 1 - 1 Toulouse

Saumur 1 - 2 Toulouse

Caen 0 - 0 Auxerre

Sochaux 1 - 0 Caen

Caen 1 - 1 Dunkerque

Troyes 1 - 0 Caen

Grenoble 3 - 1 Caen