Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
