Ligue 2 Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Gaston-Gérard
  • Yanis Barka 72' goal
  • yellowcard Godson Kyeremeh 71'

Dijon vs Red Star - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dijon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 7.00pm
Grenoble 1 - 3 Dijon
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Julio Tavarès

Red Star

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 7.45pm
Red Star 1 - 4 Nancy
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Damien Durand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Dijon win was 2-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Dijon 32.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Red Star 41.67% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 18.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 60.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 38.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 61.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 22.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.14% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Dijon 28.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 43.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Red Star 27.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Dijon 45.71% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Red Star 48.96% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 12.45%
Under 8 36.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 39.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 48.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 28.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.23% ▲ (+0.04)

Dijon Goals

Over 1.5 39.28%
Under 1.5 60.72%
Over 2.5 16.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5 76.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 23.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 47.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 52.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 22.41% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 77.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Dijon 32.23%
Draw 26.09%
Red Star 41.66%
Dijon
2-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.06%
Other @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.99%
0-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.09%
Red Star
1-2 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 41.66%