Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2026 4.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mexico City Stadium
  • Miguel Herrera 34' yellowcard
  • Miguel Herrera 34' redcard
  • M. Herrera 34' yellowcard
  • M. Herrera 34' redcard
  • L. Calzadilla 45'+1' goal
  • Aarón Quirós 47' yellowcard
  • Walter Portales 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Juninho 42'
  • yellowcard Pablo Bennevendo Peña 70'
  • goal Juninho 72'

Atlante vs Pumas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlante

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.00am
Queretaro 2 - 0 Atlante
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
L. Calzadilla

Pumas

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 2.15am
Pumas 3 - 3 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Juninho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlante win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlante win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Atlante 43.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.98% ▲ (+0.15)
Pumas 30.66% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.6% ▼ (-0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.35% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 24.65% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 51.71% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 48.29% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 3.5 30.03% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 69.97% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 17.23% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 4.5 82.77% ▲ (+0.37)

First Half Winner

Atlante 36.46% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 41.9% ▼ (-0.35)
Pumas 21.64% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Atlante 54.24% ▼ (-0.50)
No Goal 6.79% ▲ (+0.10)
Pumas 38.97% ▲ (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 57.82% ▼ (-3.28)
Equal 8 11.17% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 8 31.01% ▲ (+2.74)
Over 9 46.47% ▼ (-3.53)
Equal 9 11.36% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 9 42.18% ▲ (+3.28)
Over 10.5 35.83% ▼ (-3.49)
Under 10.5 64.17% ▲ (+3.49)

Atlante Goals

Over 1.5 43.15% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 56.85% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 19.42% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 2.5 80.58% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 7.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92.38% ▲ (+0.09)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5 65.92% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 34.08% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 32.25% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 67.75% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 12.11% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 87.89% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.52% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 96.48% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Atlante 43.37%
Draw 25.99%
Pumas 30.65%
Atlante
1-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 43.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.99%
Pumas
0-1 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 30.65%