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Central African Republic national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
Liberia national football team

CAR
3 - 1
Liberia

Macauley (2'), Wilson (8', 74')
Jamal (30'), Pabai (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ngoma (61')
Ndobe (22'), Pirioua (34'), Yangao (72'), Namnganda (90+2'), Namnganda (90+2')

Preview: Central African Republic vs. Liberia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Central African Republic and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Liberia and Central African Republic will conclude their unsuccessful World Cup qualifying campaign when the pair meet on Tuesday afternoon.

The hosts enter the tie at the foot of Group C, with the winner guaranteed to avoid finishing bottom.


Match preview

A round one win over Sierra Leone saw Liberia progress to the group stages of World Cup qualifying, yet their results ever since have been nothing short of disappointing.

With just one victory in qualification so far, Liberia have footed the Group C table for much of the campaign, having only taken three points against Central African Republic in the corresponding fixture.

Triumphing 1-0 away from home, their maiden victory in second round qualification is as positive as it has got for Liberia this term.

Without a World Cup appearance to their name, this year's effort will represent the most matches played in qualification for the Lone Star since Germany 2006.

Further qualification disappointment was suffered when attempting to reach their first Africa Cup of Nations since 2002, meaning Liberia's focus will switch to securing a place at the 2023 tournament instead.

Similarly, Central African Republic have struggled in qualification so far, yet they did enter the final international break of the year one point above Tuesday's opponents.

A 1-1 draw with Cape Verde in their opening match of the campaign was made all the sweeter by Central African Republic's shock victory over favourites Nigeria in the third game of qualification.

Stunning the Super Eagles in the 91st minute of the match, Karl Namnganda's late strike had Central African Republic dreaming of shaking up the Group C table.

Unfortunately, they have not been able to back up that statement victory, having lost the return leg, before succumbing to a 2-1 defeat against Cape Verde last time out.

Should Central African Republic avoid defeat in the final match against Liberia, they will be guaranteed a third-placed finish, whilst the hosts will need to win to drag themselves off the bottom of the table.

Central African Republic World Cup Qualifying - Africa form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Liberia World Cup Qualifying - Africa form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L


Team News

Isaac Ngoma opened the scoring for Central African Republic in the most-recent Cape Verde defeat and the forward will represent their biggest goal threat once more.

The visitors will line up with Prince Samolah between the sticks, whilst captain Saint-Cyr Ngam will marshal the defence.

Karl Namnganda will lead the line for Central African Republic as they look to finish the qualification campaign on a high.

As for Liberia, Van-Dave Harmon remains their only goal scorer in qualification so far, and the forward came off the bench against Nigeria.

Peter Wilson was the man entrusted to spearhead the attack in Liberia's last international, while midfielder Marcus Macauley will captain the Lone Star once more.

Goalkeeper Boison Wynney picked up an unlikely yellow card against Nigeria and he will be hoping to swap that for a clean sheet on Tuesday.

Central African Republic possible starting lineup:
Samolah; Ngam, Yangao, Ndobe, Ndokomandji; Toropite, Ngoma, Gaopandia, Ban, Guinari; Namnganda

Liberia possible starting lineup:
Wynney; Jamal, Pabai, Balde, Dweh; McCauley, Soumaoro, Razard, Dorley, Hellberg; Wilson


SM words green background

We say: Central African Republic 1-0 Liberia

Ending the qualification campaign on a high will be paramount for both of these teams, as the pair look to avoid finishing bottom of the group.

Central African Republic have done well to pick up points, despite the earlier defeat against Liberia, and they should have enough to inflict revenge on Tuesday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:470136:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6882:
Written by
Amos Murphy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: CAR vs Liberia

Central African Republic
42.1%
Draw
26.3%
Liberia
31.6%
19
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