EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Caleb Okoli 16' goal
  • Bobby De Cordova-Reid 37' yellowcard
  • Sammy Braybrooke 42' yellowcard
  • Wes Burns 82' yellowcard
  • Tommy Watson 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey Saunders 90'+3'

Leicester City vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Northampton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Leicester City 48.09% (+1.66)
Draw 24.71% (-0.37)
Northampton Town 27.2% (-1.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.24% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.97% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 23.03% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 53.63% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 46.37% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 31.13% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 68.87% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 18.71% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 81.29% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Leicester City 38.71% (+1.37)
Draw 39.55% (-1.02)
Northampton Town 21.74% (-0.37)

Team To Score First

Leicester City 57.38% (+0.83)
No Goal 6.96% (-0.13)
Northampton Town 35.66% (-0.70)

Corners

Over 8 68.15% (+1.16)
Equal 8 9.98% (-0.05)
Under 8 21.86% (-1.11)
Over 9 57.1% (+1.10)
Equal 9 11.06% (+0.07)
Under 9 31.85% (-1.15)
Over 10.5 45.87% (+0.93)
Under 10.5 54.13% (-0.93)

Leicester City Goals

Over 1.5 47.47% (+1.29)
Under 1.5 52.53% (-1.29)
Over 2.5 23.19% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 76.81% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 9.11% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 90.89% (-0.46)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.01% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 37.99% (+0.99)
Over 1.5 29.87% (-1.03)
Under 1.5 70.13% (+1.04)
Over 2.5 10.98% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 89.02% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 3.33% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 96.67% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Leicester City 48.09%
Draw 24.72%
Northampton Town 27.2%
Leicester City
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.93% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 4.92% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.24)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.12)
Other @ 8.95% (+0.50)
Total : 48.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.05)
Total : 24.72%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.17% (-0.21)
Total : 27.2%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT LCFC Training Ground
  • Stephy Mavididi 6' goal
  • Will Alves 17' goal
  • Will Alves 22' goal
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 15, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 26'
League One
Jan 31, 2009 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Billy Clarke 1' yellowcard
  • Leon Constantine 16' goal
  • Liam Davis 40' yellowcard
  • goal Steve Howard 21'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 32'
  • goal Lloyd Dyer 73'
League One
Oct 25, 2008 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Mattock 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Doig 87'