Lech Poznan
1-1
Mainz Mainz 05

Ishak (41' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Lech Poznan and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-1 Mainz
Thursday, December 11 at 8pm in Conference League

Next Game: Olomouc vs. Lech Poznan
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Mainz 05

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Mainz
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Mainz vs. Samsunspor
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Mainz 05
48.19%	22.36%	29.46%

Both teams to score 64.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.54%

35.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.5%

57.5%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84%

15.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.25%

43.75%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25%

23.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.11%

57.89%

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 48.19%

Mainz 05 29.46%

Draw 22.36%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.21% 1-0 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-2 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.22% Total : 48.19%	1-1 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.6% 3-3 @ 2% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 7.02% 0-1 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.46%