Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martigues win with a probability of 90.28%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for Valence FC had a probability of 2.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martigues win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.59%) and 0-4 (11.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.44%), while for a Valence FC win it was 1-0 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Martigues would win this match.