Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marignane Gignac CB win with a probability of 64.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Valence FC had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marignane Gignac CB win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Valence FC win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.