Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.