Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.