Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atromitos win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Panserraikos had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atromitos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Panserraikos win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atromitos would win this match.