Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paksi SE in this match.