Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gyori ETO win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for MTK had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gyori ETO win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.