Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for APOEL had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest APOEL win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.