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Vladimir Coufal
10'
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Mateo Kovacic
28'
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Erling Haaland
42'
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Erling Haaland
55'
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Phil Foden
58'
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Kyle Walker
64'
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Niclas Fullkrug
14'
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Julen Lopetegui
23'
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Niclas Fullkrug
71'
Manchester City vs West Ham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
West Ham United Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.41%
Total : 75.26%
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 14.24%
0-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.49%
Head to Head
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James Ward-Prowse
36'
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James Ward-Prowse
36'
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Edson Alvarez
38'
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Edson Alvarez
38'
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Tomas Soucek
79'
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Lucas Paqueta
90'+6'
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Jeremy Doku
46'
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Jeremy Doku
46'
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Josko Gvardiol
45'+2'
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Josko Gvardiol
45'+2'
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Bernardo Silva
76'
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Erling Haaland
86'
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Rodri
89'
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