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Bernardo Silva
8'
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Kevin De Bruyne
31'
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Ilkay Gundogan
52'
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Jeremy Doku
57'
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Bernardo Silva
69'
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Nicolas Dominguez
45'+1'
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Morgan Gibbs-White
51'
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Murillo
54'
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Nikola Milenkovic
76'
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 76.73%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Nottingham Forest Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 76.73%
2-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 13.95%
0-1 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 9.31%
Head to Head
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Josko Gvardiol
32'
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Erling Haaland
71'
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Phil Foden
7'
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Phil Foden
7'
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Erling Haaland
14'
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Erling Haaland
14'
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Manuel Akanji
18'
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Manuel Akanji
18'
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Pep Guardiola
19'
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Pep Guardiola
19'
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Rodri
46'
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Ederson
58'
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Jack Grealish
90'+3'
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Nuno Tavares
21'
-
Nuno Tavares
21'
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Ibrahim Sangare
45'+1'
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Morgan Gibbs-White
46'
-
Ibrahim Sangare
45'+2'
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Taiwo Awoniyi
58'
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Orel Mangala
77'
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Divock Origi
81'
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Gonzalo Montiel
90'+3'
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Chris Wood
84'
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Bernardo Silva
41'
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Erling Braut Haaland
12'
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Erling Braut Haaland
23'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
38'
-
Joao Cancelo
50'
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Julian Alvarez
65'
-
Julian Alvarez
87'
-
Uwe Rosler
16'
-
Kevin Campbell
69'
-
Stuart Pearce
80'
-
Jason Lee
10'
-
Steve Stone
31'
-
Jason Lee
33'
-
Jason Lee
46'
-
Andrea Silenzi
80'
-
Steve Stone
82'
-
John Foster
4'
-
Uwe Rosler
11'
-
Michael Brown
12'
-
Ian Brightwell
40'
-
Ian Brightwell
41'
-
Keith Curle
88'
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