Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.