Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.