Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.