Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.