Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 15
Jul 22, 2024 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gamla Ullevi
  • Mervan Celik 26' yellowcard
  • Axel Noren 40' goal
  • Chovanie Amatkarijo 55' yellowcard
  • Alexander Milosevic 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ahl-Holmstrom 81' goal
  • Jonas Lindberg 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard William Milovanovic 61'

GAIS vs AIK Fotboll - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

GAIS

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Jul 13, 2024 4.30pm
Sirius 3 - 1 GAIS
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Alexander Ahl-Holmstrom

AIK Fotboll

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Jul 15, 2024 6.00pm
Halmstad 1 - 2 AIK
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ioannis Pittas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.

Result

GAIS 47.66% (-1.17)
Draw 25.13% (+0.45)
AIK Fotboll 27.2% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.37% (-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.38% (-1.37)
Under 2.5 49.61% (+1.36)
Over 3.5 28.36% (-1.24)
Under 3.5 71.63% (+1.24)
Over 4.5 13.55% (-0.85)
Under 4.5 86.44% (+0.84)

GAIS Goals

Over 0.5 79.16% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 20.83% (+1.04)
Over 1.5 46.48% (-1.66)
Under 1.5 53.52% (+1.66)

AIK Fotboll Goals

Over 0.5 67.41% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 32.58% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 30.88% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 69.11% (+0.18)

Score analysis

GAIS 47.66%
Draw 25.13%
AIK Fotboll 27.2%
GAIS
1-0 @ 10.64% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 6.79% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
AIK Fotboll
0-1 @ 7.61% (+0.39)
1-2 @ 6.7% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.27% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.5% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.2%