Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.