Olympic Games Men's Football
Jul 24, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Kiliann Sildillia 17' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 61' goal
  • Michael Olise 69' goal
  • Loic Bade 85' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Paredes 37'

France Under-23s vs USA Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

France Under-23s

All competitions

USA Under-23s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 11.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a USA Under-23s win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Under-23s would win this match.

Result

France Under-23s 71.12% (+0.07)
Draw 17.53% (-0.10)
USA Under-23s 11.34% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.21% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.52% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 40.48% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 37.14% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 62.85% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 19.89% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 80.1% (-0.44)

France Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 89.87% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 10.12% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 66.69% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 33.31% (-0.38)

USA Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 54.75% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 45.24% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 18.87% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 81.12% (-0.34)

Score analysis

France Under-23s 71.11%
Draw 17.53%
USA Under-23s 11.35%
France Under-23s
2-0 @ 12.01% (-0.14)
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.53% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.17% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.27% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 5.25% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.17% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.88% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.91% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.65% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 71.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.32% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.78% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.53%
USA Under-23s
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 3.3% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 11.35%