Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a USA Under-23s win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Under-23s would win this match.