Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.