/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fevelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
-
Idrissa Gueye
35'
-
Dwight McNeil
79'
-
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
83'
-
Abdoulaye Doucoure
86'
-
Beto
87'
-
Sean Dyche
90'+2'
-
Beto
90'+6'
Everton vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Feverton_2.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Everton had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result
Everton
35%
▲
(+0.38)
Draw
26.2%
▲
(+0.36)
Newcastle United
38.79%
▼
(-0.73)
Both Teams to Score:
53.43%
▼
(-1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.86%
▼
(-1.45)
Under 2.5
51.14%
▲
(+1.46)
Over 3.5
27.01%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 3.5
72.99%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 4.5
12.66%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 4.5
87.34%
▲
(+0.86)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5
72.01%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
27.99%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 1.5
36.37%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 1.5
63.63%
▲
(+0.61)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
74.2%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 0.5
25.8%
▲
(+1.06)
Over 1.5
39.24%
▼
(-1.45)
Under 1.5
60.76%
▲
(+1.45)
Score analysis
Everton
35%
Draw
26.19%
Newcastle United
38.79%
Everton
1-0
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.41)
2-1 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35%
2-1 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35%
Draw
1-1
@
12.45%
▲
(+0.18)
0-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
Newcastle United
0-1
@
9.78%
▲
(+0.28)
1-2 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.79%
1-2 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.79%
