Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.