Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.