Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.