Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.