Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.